• Natural Gas Is Lighter Than Air and Its Rising - I Smell Opportunity!

    During the last stock market top in 2007-2008 the price of natural gas completed a basing pattern (bottom) and broke out and had a massive rally. Will this happen again this time around? Based on the stock market stage analysis, market sentiment, and...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-11-2016
  • The Silver Lining In A stock Market Crash

    In their latest announcement, the FED attempted to prop up the stock market. They attempted to sound hawkish, however, the market paid not any heed to it. The FED annulment was reflected in a manner that lead the way to the dollar tanking and precious...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-10-2016
  • Another Strong Jobs Report, But Economy Remains Weak

    Last Friday’s unemployment report for July was significantly better than expected for the second month in a row. This has led many analysts to upgrade their forecasts for growth in the second half of this year. Yet as I will argue below, forecasters often put far too much weight on one or two monthly economic reports that can be revised significantly in subsequent months.

    While new jobs were substantially above the pre-report consensus in June and July, let us not forget that job creation in May was almost non-existent, the lowest in several years. The fact is, the US economy continues to limp along at less than 2% growth.

    Posted to Forecasts & Trends by Gary D. Halbert on 08-09-2016
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  • Wake Up and Smell the Bull Trap!

    We are currently experiencing a “ Kondratiev Winter ” stage in this stock market which is at its’ “tipping” point. This is where nominal to incremental highs on the SPX can be exceeded by 2%, but, by no more than 4%. I am...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-09-2016
  • World Gone Backwards

    This week Patrick discusses another aspect of globalization, one that has a direct bearing on questions of equity. He explores the technologies that allowed globalization to take hold and the new technologies that are actually allowing production to “re-shore.” I mentioned that topic in passing last week, and it turned out that one of my readers heads an organization that is focused on assisting companies in re-shoring their production back to the US. He tells me that 250,000 jobs have already returned to the US. Patrick tells us an interesting story about how this trend will continue to unfold.

    Posted to Thoughts From The Frontline by John Mauldin on 08-08-2016
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    Here is my chart of GLD during post-market trading today (Thursday, Aug 4th). I sent this chart to my followers alerting them of the next day’s market bias/trend and trade setup. If you don’t know what spike alerts are, let me explain briefly...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-07-2016

    The ‘blockchain’ technology, the very basis on which the bitcoins were created, is likely to become the backbone of the future digitization of money. The importance of the technology was asserted in the 16th Annual International Conference...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-05-2016
  • Is Gold A Safe Haven Or Risk At This Point?

    Gold has a “clear presence” to play in a world dominated with ‘global economic uncertainty” My analysis shows that gold will be implemented to protect ‘global purchasing power’ and minimize losses during our upcoming...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-04-2016
  • US Dollar Analysis And New Trading Opportunity

    Investor optimism in stocks is becoming more widespread. Last week’s NAAIM Exposure Index rose to 101, which is the highest level since December of 2013. The trading sentiment composite has moved to a “Sell Signal” and last week saw...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-02-2016
  • GDP Stunner: 2Q Growth Was Less Than Half of Forecast

    The Commerce Department reported last Friday that gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the US, rose only 1.2% (annual rate) in the second quarter. That was less than half the pre-report consensus of 2.6%. This was one of the largest misses by forecasters in quite some time. I'll break down the report as we go along today. I will also discuss what the Fed's reaction to the disappointing GDP report is likely to be.

    At the end of today's letter, I will give you a link to a WALL STREET JOURNAL article on Sunday which claims that while Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton compromised national security by urging US technology companies to fund Russian research for military purposes. Assuming it’s true as the Journal claims, it will easily be the most serious scandal ever for Ms. Clinton. And it couldn't come at a better time!

    Posted to Forecasts & Trends by Gary D. Halbert on 08-02-2016
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  • Economic Confidence Index plunges while stock market makes record highs

    The Gallup Poll has released an Economic Confidence Index which reflects the sentiment of Americans, as it pertains to the economy. As the stock market makes new record highs and the housing “bubble” market soars, one would expect that the...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 08-01-2016
  • Don’t Buy The SPX Hope Rally!

    All bubbles burst; the question is when? Quantitative Easing (QE) is much like an addiction. One needs more and more to get the initial effect, however, this becomes an asymptotic result, whereas, eventually, one needs an infinite amount that will no...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 07-26-2016
  • The Bond Market: Beware of Junkyard Dogs

    It should come as no surprise that credit spreads are shrinking between what in theory are risk-free investments and other investments. Retirees and other investors are reaching farther and farther for yield, piling into all sorts of increasingly risky investments.

    Posted to John Mauldin's Outside the Box by John Mauldin on 07-25-2016
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  • Large investors become major buyers of...

    The world has woken up to the fact that the Central Banks are a curse, rather than a boom to the global economies, and their time left is slowly coming to an end because of new technologies and currencies I talked about last week. People are starting...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 07-22-2016
  • Insight from Greed, Volatility, and Put/Call Ratio

    I was recently looking at the CNN money website where they post this fear & green index. I caught my attention because many other aspects of the market are now also showing signs an imminent correction in the stock market. This analysis is a contrarians...
    Posted to The Gold And Oil Guy by Chris Vermeulen on 07-21-2016
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