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  • Association of Investor Awareness - Week of 01/01/2009

    In This Issue:

    The New Year Should Bring Investors Some Relief
    Consumers Have More Money Than Holiday Sales Suggest
    Most Corporations Are In Good Financial Shape
    Economy Gains From Cheaper Dollars, Oil, And Interest Rates
    The Faster The Pain, The Quicker The Gain?
    If You Don’t Play, You Can’t Win
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Investors who hoped that Santa might bring them some cheer over Christmas were sorely disappointed. The usually-jolly old gentlemen dropped off a rather large bag of coal. Even that gift was worth a lot less than would have been true a few months ago.

    In any event, when the stock market closed on Christmas week, the Dow and the Nasdaq were down another 0.7% and 2.2% respectively. The mood brightened over the weekend when unemployment claims dropped unexpectedly. During the last three trading days of 2008, the market went up 260 points. We suspect that the occasion will be celebrated with a little extra bubbly on New Years Eve.

    Of course, Wall Street’s revelers will need to overlook the fact that the S&P 500 went down a dismal 41% during 2008. It wasn’t the worst annual performance in history, but it was the worst in the memory of most investors living now.

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  • Week of 09/18/2008

    In This Issue:

    Stocks Plunged, But The Expected Crash Didn't Occur
    Many Investors Were Pleased To See Some Bailouts End
    A Recession Is More Likely, But It Isn't Assured
    Many Companies Are Having A Good Year
    It's Time For Bottom Fishers To Unfold Their Nets
    The Dollar Rebound May Be Over
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Looking back at the stock market of last week is like looking at the distant past. Compared to the big changes that have occurred since then, the five day period belonged to a different era. For the record, the Dow and the Nasdaq gained 1.8% and 0.2% respectively.

    As everybody knows by now, this week opened with a 504 point plunge after the government failed to find a buyer for Lehman Brothers. The news was a shock because investors expected a repeat of the Bear Stearns shotgun marriage to J.P. Morgan that prevented a stock market quake in March. When the rescue attempt for Lehman fell apart, many investors headed for the door.

    There was a brief rebound on Tuesday but stocks plunged another 449 points the next day. High volatility seems likely to continue for quite some time.

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  • Week of 08/21/2008

    In This Issue:

    Inflation Spike Seems Unlikely To Last
    The Dollar Rally Gathers Strength
    Russians In Georgia Have Investors Spooked
    The Outlook Is Good For U.S. Defense Companies
    In A Low Yield World, Dividends Shine
    The Bottom Line This Week

    The stock rally lost some ground last week which made many investors worry that the run may be coming to an end. That fear was justified since the main engine behind the rally -falling oil prices- continued to play their part. Even with oil moving down to the $112 range, the Dow fell 0.6% for the week.

    Small stocks moved in the opposite direction to their larger cousins as the Nasdaq posted a 1.6% advance. In its own way, the small stock upturn also made investors nervous. The bounce was another in a long list of confusing situations that are at work in the market today.

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  • Week of 08/14/2008

    In This Issue:

    Surprise! Oil Prices Can Plunge As Well As Soar
    Russia-Georgia Conflict Shows Oil Retreat Has Legs
    The Dollar Is Rebounding By Default
    We Know We've Said This Before, But "Buy The Bargains"
    The Bottom Line This Week

    Last week, the stock market continued to make the big swings that started several days earlier. This time, however, we were delighted to see that the pattern was skewed towards the positive. Thanks to a 332 point gain on Tuesday and another 303 point jump on Friday, the Dow and the Nasdaq ended the week up 3.6% and 4.5% respectively.

    Those were very nice numbers for a five day period, especially since poor economic news –and the Russian/Georgian war- continued to dominate the headlines. However, none of it could overcome the enthusiasm investors had for the recent plunge in oil prices that brought the magic $100 level within sight. If oil gets that low we will see rejoicing on both Wall Street and on Main Street. We might even raise a glass ourselves.

    Meanwhile, Mother Market is testing our resolve. After rising 49 points on Monday, stocks dropped 250 points through Wednesday. More gyrations are undoubtedly on the way.

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