January 2008 - Principles of the Stock Market

Richard Schwartz, who loves to share his experience and knowledge with his many readers, has worked in the stock market and financial services industry for over 35 years. His lifetime stock market/economics reading list is approaching 175 books. Richard is currently employed at a financial firm writing a money management advisory and trading the firm’s capital while continuing to publish his “Principles of the Stock Market” newsletter.

Principles of the Stock Market

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Long Term Yields Are Key

LONG TERM US TREASURES . Yields are key! As long as long term US Treasury yields stay down, that will help reflate US consumers and thus stabilize the US housing market and thus the whole economy. And then the bulls may just be proved right that no big...

Published 01-25-2008 8:58 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy, Keys to the Market
A BOUNCE OR A BOTTOM?

A BOUNCE OR A BOTTOM? Whether last week’s V bottom turns out to be the end of a short bear market or just a temporary bounce in the beginning of an extended bear market obviously depends on the economy. Past short bear markets have forecast some recessions...

Published 01-31-2008 10:39 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View
Recession Debate Continues

ECONOMIC VIEW . Still A Debate Over Recession! The public debate still continues over whether the US will undergo a recession in 2008. (Wealthy) economists and financial commentators are even betting bottles of champagne on it. One regular CNBC guest...

Published 01-31-2008 10:42 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence, US Economy, Keys to the Market
Technical View: 1/03/2008

TECHNICAL VIEW . Yesterday I pointed out that the chart patterns we’ve built over the last few months could resolve themselves bullishly. That we could have been base building ever since last August’s drop. But the other possibility is a break below the...

Published 01-03-2008 9:14 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View
More on Greenspan

MORE ON ALAN GREENSPAN’S THE AGE OF TURBULENCE . I’m proud of myself! I read former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan’s whole tome on vacation (505 pages and 23 chapters). It was quite a challenge but I enjoyed most all of it. It’s really an economic...

Published 01-03-2008 9:16 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View, Alan Greenspan
Green Energy Update: 1/03/2008

YOUR ALTERNATE, CLEAN, GREEN ENERGY UPDATE I have to note that my own IRA -- which is 70% invested (30% in cash) and has 95% of the invested money in 26 different alternate, clean and green energy stocks (the other 5% invested in nanotech) -- actually...

Published 01-03-2008 9:18 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Green Energy, Green Investing
Greenspan & The Big Picture

One of the Big Picture and thus most important takeaways for me from reading former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan’s recently released book, The Age of Turbulence (at the beach; yea!) is that the two decade long economic backdrop of disinflation...

Published 01-03-2008 9:19 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Value View
New York City & The US Economy

THE ECONOMY Seems like how New York City goes will be how the overall US economy goes. Let me explain. We all know the subprime economy -- meaning broadly the lower middle class who couldn’t really afford to buy a home without the lax lending regulations...

Published 01-11-2008 8:25 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, US Economy
The Fan Principle

Well, the Fan Principle is back in play but this time on the downside. The Fan Principle is a simple, commonsense rule stating that when three trendlines (up or down) are broken the trend has likely changed. It proved correct on the upside back in August...

Published 01-11-2008 8:28 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View
Closing Lows vs. Intraday Lows

TECHNICALLY . After yesterday’s fall, I now classify all the important indices as down below their previous correction lows of last August. That may be some argument about my interpretation since I use the closing lows. If one uses the extreme intraday...

Published 01-11-2008 8:34 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Technical View, Investing Strategies
Take Some Profits in Alternative Energy

The alternate, green, clean energy sector. TAKE SOME PROFITS! Looks like the alternate energy sector & its stocks are closely tied to the strength & health of the economy, even more so than the sector is tied to the price of oil. This close tie...

Published 01-11-2008 8:40 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Clean Energy, Investing Strategies, Green Investing, Alternative Energy, US Economy
Use Downtrend Channels For Trading

I’ve been talking about two possible stock market paths. Either a stock market stuck in a wide, 10% trading range (wide trading ranges are more indicative of a forming top than a consolidation on the way up). Or a break below the August lows and thus...

Published 01-11-2008 8:42 AM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Trading, Shorting, Technical View, Dowtrend Channels
The 50% Retracment Rule

Schwartz: As to a prediction of how far the stock market could go down over the next year or two, the old rule is that a bear market retraces 50% or more of the gains it made in the previous bull market. Since this bull market began back in October 2002...

Published 01-15-2008 1:06 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View, 50% Rule
Head & Shoulders Top Completed

1. Head & Shoulders Tops In Place . The last three weeks of declines completed bearish Head & Shoulders Tops in the key averages, named the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq. Many will dispute my interpretation because they use intraday lows instead of...

Published 01-15-2008 1:11 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, Technical View
China's Problems

CHINA . The Big Dog . I couldn’t help but notice that: (1) China’s trade surplus actually shrank in December and (2) import prices from China rose again. In explanation, China’s trade surplus hit a record high of $27.0 billion in October, backed off to...

Published 01-15-2008 1:16 PM by Richard Schwartz

Filed under: China, Principles of the Stock Market, Richard Schwartz, China View, The Coming China Wars

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January 2008 - Principles of the Stock Market

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Syndication

Recent Posts

Have You Seen This?

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Have You Seen This?

Long Term Yields Are Key

A BOUNCE OR A BOTTOM?

Recession Debate Continues

Technical View: 1/03/2008

More on Greenspan

Green Energy Update: 1/03/2008

Greenspan & The Big Picture

New York City & The US Economy

The Fan Principle

Closing Lows vs. Intraday Lows

Take Some Profits in Alternative Energy

Use Downtrend Channels For Trading

The 50% Retracment Rule

Head & Shoulders Top Completed

China's Problems