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"Why" many ask, "is the stock market going up when the bond market is telling us the recovery will be tepid? Isn't there a disconnect?" And the answer is that there is, and this week good friend and fishing buddy Paul McCulley of PIMCO fame discusses that very topic with his usual...
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In This Issue: The Economy Continues to Improve Slowly Plunge in Commercial Real Estate Values More Trouble Ahead for the Banks Glut of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities Personal: Thinking Wrong, But Getting It Right Introduction There is broad agreement that we have seen the worst of the recession...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Economy - More Signs of Recovery Is the Recession & Credit Crisis Over? Obama Adds $2 Trillion to Debt Forecast Economic Assumptions Still Too Optimistic What in the World Are They Thinking? Do They Want Control Even If It Ruins The Economy? Introduction In my June 16 E-Letter...
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In This Issue: The Outlook Is Better For An Improving Economy Profit Growth Can Be Misleading Big Companies Still Have An Advantage Emerging Countries Are Making A Strong Recovery Two Long Term Dividend Payers Look Good Fasten Your Seat Belts, Oil Prices Are Roaring Back The Bottom Line This Week It's...
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IN THIS ISSUE: Economic Signs of Improvement Fed Vows to Keep Rates Low Market Comments from John P. Hussman, Ph.D. Conclusions Introduction We have seen some encouraging economic news in recent weeks, and President Obama and his cronies in the mainstream media have declared that the worst recession...
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IN THIS ISSUE: Finally, Some Good News For The US Economy More Insights From The Latest GDP Report Media & Obama Declare The Recession Is Ending Consumer Spending Is Still The Key 100+ Hedge Fund Managers Offer Their Predictions Introduction The Commerce Department announced last Friday that the...
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There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst and for the conversation to be all about...
Posted to
John Mauldin's Outside the Box
by
John Mauldin
on
07-13-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Deflation, Japan, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington, GDP, Bonds, Economic Forecast, Velocity, Fiscal Policy, Economic Data, Debt, NBER
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In This Issue: Mixed Economic Signals Worry Investors Another Kind Of Bailout Is Also A Concern A New Economic Reality Is Emerging For Efficient Companies, Slow Growth Can Be Profitable Your Best Strategy Now Three Analysts And A Fool Have Recommended This Stock The Bottom Line This Week In our last...
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IN THIS ISSUE: Obama's Government Takeover Continues Editorial: "Too Big to Fail, Or Succeed" Americans More Concerned About Deficits Economy May Have Seen the Worst of It Conclusions Introduction The more I think about it, I believe that last week's E-Letter which revealed President...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Latest Economic Reports -- Mostly Negative Latest Wall Street Journal Survey of Economists Fed's Latest "Beige Book" Outlook is Bleak Conclusions -- What To Believe? Introduction We have clients calling us every day to ask if we believe the economy and the stock markets...
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This week we will look at two shorter essays for this edition of Outside the Box. The first is some thoughtful words by Tom Au on whether or not we have put in a true bottom for the market. I particularly want you to read his thoughts on what earnings will look like going forward, and whether we can...
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IN THIS ISSUE: David Henry On A New Bull Market Why Wall Street Needs A New Bull Make Half A Decision Introduction This week, I am off spending some time with my son, who is home from college for Spring Break. Since we live on the lake, I’m putting in a lot of time driving the boat while he and...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Economy Continues To Slump Badly US Stock Markets Continue To Plunge Obama's Multi-Trillion Dollar Spending Spree Obama's Budget – The First $2 TRILLION Deficit? Obama's Plan To Nationalize Health Care This Year Obama's “Cap-and-Trade” Environmental Proposal Conclusions...
Posted to
Forecasts & Trends
by
Gary D. Halbert
on
03-10-2009
Filed under:
Filed under: Gary D. Halbert, Stocks, GDP, Economic Forecast, Economic Policy, Inflation, Barack Obama, Deficit, AIG, Employment, Cap-and-Trade, Environment, Health Care
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February 27, 2009 Dear Readers, This morning, as I was looking over dispatches from correspondents around the world – from Ed in Alberta… Sadia in the UK… Baldy in Indonesia… the “General” in Portugal… and Nitin in Katmandu – I began to appreciate what it must have been like to be on the news desk during...
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IN THIS ISSUE: The Recession Continues To Deepen So, How Deep & How Long? Multi-Trillion Dollar Bailouts In The Works Obama's $825 Billion "Stimulus" Package Obama's Next "Big Bang" Bank Bailout Fed Gearing Up To Buy Treasury Bonds Introduction We are witnessing the most...